harry reid in 2010, usually if it's close in nevada, and i learned this from john ensign back in the 1990s, give it to the democrats, because that is one place where they can get the union voters out and if it's close, it always seems to tip in the democrats' favor. >> you got union vote. you've got hispanic vote very big there. on the other side, the governor, who is pretty popular, has not gone all out yet for mitt romney. he's endorsed him, obviously. you've got a big mormon vote there. and republicans have put a lot of their best operatives in the country in that state. so that could go either way. but that's one mitt romney must have at this point. >> all right. >> if you look at the different electoral college options and he is a little bit behind. >> a state that came into play and actually helped elect george w. bush, we hear a lot about florida but george w. bush wouldn't have been president without it. new hampshire. that's a state where mitt romney owns a home. the president right now owning a large lead again. that's changed a good bit over the past month. in all t
